Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004110 0.004320 0.004535 0.004772 0.005027 0.005294 0.005593
2025-10-05 0.003764 0.004075 0.004409 0.004794 0.005227 0.005702 0.006265
2025-10-12 0.003574 0.003948 0.004361 0.004852 0.005423 0.006073 0.006873
2025-10-19 0.003379 0.003791 0.004254 0.004819 0.005495 0.006285 0.007290
2025-10-26 0.003223 0.003663 0.004168 0.004795 0.005563 0.006484 0.007689
2025-11-02 0.003085 0.003545 0.004081 0.004760 0.005607 0.006647 0.008044
2025-11-09 0.003024 0.003514 0.004094 0.004841 0.005794 0.006990 0.008643
2025-11-16 0.002912 0.003414 0.004016 0.004803 0.005823 0.007130 0.008977
2025-11-23 0.002826 0.003341 0.003966 0.004795 0.005888 0.007314 0.009377
2025-11-30 0.002719 0.003237 0.003872 0.004725 0.005865 0.007377 0.009608
2025-12-07 0.002627 0.003147 0.003792 0.004668 0.005855 0.007453 0.009857
2025-12-14 0.002562 0.003091 0.003752 0.004660 0.005908 0.007618 0.010241
2025-12-21 0.002443 0.002961 0.003614 0.004518 0.005773 0.007512 0.010221
2025-12-28 0.002397 0.002925 0.003596 0.004537 0.005861 0.007727 0.010698
2026-01-04 0.002368 0.002909 0.003604 0.004590 0.005999 0.008021 0.011313
2026-01-11 0.002309 0.002851 0.003554 0.004561 0.006015 0.008133 0.011647
2026-01-18 0.002255 0.002800 0.003511 0.004538 0.006040 0.008258 0.012006
2026-01-25 0.002201 0.002746 0.003462 0.004505 0.006048 0.008355 0.012325
2026-02-01 0.002189 0.002747 0.003489 0.004581 0.006218 0.008712 0.013105
2026-02-08 0.002139 0.002696 0.003440 0.004545 0.006219 0.008800 0.013425
2026-02-15 0.002100 0.002659 0.003412 0.004538 0.006262 0.008958 0.013877
2026-02-22 0.002045 0.002598 0.003346 0.004473 0.006213 0.008961 0.014049
2026-03-01 0.001995 0.002544 0.003289 0.004420 0.006180 0.008989 0.014266